Electoral College Ratings
NBC News’ Decision Desk has released its Electoral College Ratings for the upcoming November elections, providing insights into the competitiveness of key races. Factors such as historical electoral results, election polling, voter registration data, early voting trends, political advertising, and candidate assessments are all taken into consideration.
In battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nebraska District 2, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the race is heating up. For instance, in Arizona, where Joe Biden narrowly won in 2020, polls show a tight race between Trump and Kamala Harris. Similarly, in Georgia, Trump lost by a slim margin in 2020, making it a toss-up this year.
In Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state, Trump won by a narrow margin in 2016 but lost in 2020. Kamala Harris is making a strong push in the state, which is classified as a toss-up. Wisconsin, another swing state, saw Trump winning by less than 1% in 2016 and Biden by a similar margin in 2020.
The past presidential election results from 1992 to 2020 show the fluctuating dynamics of the Electoral College. The vote margin by state in the 2020 election is also highlighted, with circle sizes representing the electoral votes in each state.
As the election approaches, the race in these battleground states remains tight, with both parties vying for crucial electoral votes. Stay tuned for more updates as the campaigns intensify in the coming weeks.